Acquisition and Investment Evaluation of Port Project
A Large Breakbulk, Container and Bulk Cargo Port in a Newly Liberalized Economy

Client(s)

A Consortium of US and European Investment Banks (Confidential Client).

Key Issues

An international consortium of investment banks commissioned the project to determine the economic and financial feasibility of acquiring and developing one of the largest ports in a Newly Liberalized Economy in a developing country. The objective is to acquire the port or specific investment projects, make capital and operational improvements and realize operating and capital gains. The major issues of concern are the potential competitiveness of the port in the region, capital investment needs, project financing, market and country risks, price of shares and restructuring operating expenses.

Cornell Group’s Role

The Cornell Group is responsible for determining the financial and economic feasibility, defining the value of the port, capital investment needs, and determining the price the client should pay for the acquisition. The Cornell Group used its proprietary port valuation and other models and:

  • Developed 25-year traffic forecast by commodity and cargo type.

  • Conducted competitive, market, cost and productivity analysis.
  • Used the Cornell Port Capacity Model to determine current and future space requirements for berths, cargo handling and storage.
  • Modified port financial statements and balance sheet to conform with international standards, and projected future financial performance of the port.
  • Modified the Cornell Project Valuation Model for the specific port characteristics and projected cash flow. Determined the investors’ expected rate of return based on market, country, and liquidity risks. Conducted sensitivity analyses for various market scenarios.
  • Conducted economic impact analysis, and developed NPV, IRR, and ERR for various investor scenarios. Developed financial ratios.
  • Advised on operations, management and labor restructuring. Targeted unviable operations for divestment.
  • Defined the value of the port and range of prices that the investors should pay for the controlling shares in the port.
  • Trained key client staff in the use of the models and project valuation.

Status

The investors are negotiating with the government and shareholders for acquisition of the port.

 

Strategic Restructuring and Privatization
Port of Port-au-Prince, Haiti.

Client(s)

International Finance Corporation (IFC) Prime Minister of Haiti

Key Issues

The Democratization of Haiti required that the State-owned ports, airports, banks and telecommunications enterprises be modernized and restructured to compete effectively in a free market environment. The government wished to privatize all the ports to attract foreign investment capital and management expertise for modernizing the country’s ports system.

The Cornell Group’s Role

The Cornell Group was responsible for developing a restructuring plan for the ports, developing business projections, defining facility investment needs, attracting new investments and defining a new institutional and fiscal responsibility structure for the country’s ports system.

Additionally, we were required to assist government of Haiti in transferring operating control of the international port of Port-au-Prince to a private operator. In preparation for privatization, The Cornell Group:

  • Surveyed the existing port facilities, determined their current market value and defined new facility and equipment investment needs.
  • Conducted a competitive tariff and productivity analysis with regional ports to define new operating standards.
  • Developed a downsizing plan within the framework of the labor laws and collective bargaining agreements.
  • Developed cash flow and business volume projections to determine the Net Present Value and fair market value of port concessions.

  • Defined new institutional and fiscal responsibilities between the State and the private sector.
  • Developed bid documents to attract investors and a methodology for evaluating the bids.
  • Identified and contacted several qualified bidders to present them with the bidding information.

 

Status

Final reports and recommendations have been submitted to and approved by the Prime Minister. Bid invitations were developed and sent out to twenty-one international terminal operators.

 

Strategic Restructuring and Privatization
Airport of Port-au-Prince, and the National Airports System, Haiti.

Client(s)

International Finance Corporation (IFC) Prime Minister of Haiti

Key Issues

The Democratization of Haiti required that the State-owned airports, ports, banks and telecommunications enterprises be modernized and restructured to compete effectively in a free market environment. The government wished to evaluate restructuring and privatization alternatives to attract foreign investment capital and management expertise for modernizing the country’s airports.

The Cornell Group’s Role

The Cornell Group is responsible for conducting feasibility analyses for restructuring and privatizing the entire airports system in Haiti, attracting new investments and restructuring tariffs and the institutional and legal structure. We are currently performing several studies to assist the government of Haiti in restructuring and modernizing the country’s airports system, including:

  • Competitive tariff analysis
  • Airport facilities capacity and condition analysis
  • Asset evaluation
  • Investment needs assessment
  • Traffic forecasting
  • Tariff and revenue forecasting

COMPETITIVE TARIFF ANALYSIS

  • Revenue enhancement options
  • Cash flow projections
  • Organizational restructuring
  • Institutional change evaluation
  • Developing bid documents
  • Selecting private operators and investors, and evaluating bids

Status

The initial restructuring options reports have been presented to the Prime Minister for review.

 

Strategic Business Planning and Economic Evaluation
Port of Puerto Quetzal, Guatemala

Client(s)
Empresa Nacional Portuaria
Olko Engineers

Key Issues

The National Port Authority of Guatemala has determined the need to develop additional container cargo handling and cruise ship terminal facilities at the Pacific port of Puerto Quetzal, at an estimated cost of $50 million. The Authority commissioned a study to evaluate the strategic and economic need for the expansion, and develop a design for the new terminal. The final objective is to develop a strategic business plan and loan documents to apply for financing for the project from the Central American Development Bank.

Cornell Group’s Role

The Cornell Group was responsible for conducting the economic feasibility analysis and evaluating the strategic need for the container cargo and cruise ship terminal, as well as providing assistance in developing the loan application to the Central American Development Bank. Major areas in which we provided analytical assistance and advice were:

  • Developed 25-year traffic forecast by commodity and cargo type.
  • Conducted competitive cost and productivity analysis.
  • Developed capacity model and determined current and future space requirements for berths, cargo handling and storage.

Demand And Supply Analysis

The chart shows our projections of supply and demand at the port

  • Developed cash flow analysis for various traffic projections.
  • Conducted economic impact analysis, including NPV, IRR, and ERR analysis for various traffic projections.
  • Advised on operations layout.
  • Assisted in developing Strategic Business Plan and loan application documents.

Status

The Strategic Business Plan, Economic Impact Study and loan application documents have been submitted to the Central American Bank for review.

 

Economic and Strategic Business Development Plan
Songkhla and Phuket Ports, Thailand

Client(s)
Asian Development Bank (ADB)
Parsons Brinckerhoff

Key Issues

The ports of Songkhla and Phuket were constructed in 1988 by the Thai government to provide suitable outlets for export cargo from Thailand’s Southern Region, facilitate direct imports to the region, and stimulate economic development in the region. With cargo and passenger growth approaching capacity, the government wishes to develop a strategic business plan and economic feasibility analysis to assess the need for additional port facilities and infrastructure.

Cornell Group’s Role

Funded by the Asian Development Bank, The Cornell Group is conducting financial, operations and organizational analyses to update the Master Plan for two ports, and economic analysis to determine the need to build additional port facilities. The project requires us to:

  • Develop 15-year cargo and passenger traffic projections by type of cargo and vessel.
  • Evaluate existing port facilities and productivity, and based on traffic forecasts, identify infrastructure improvements to increase capacity.
  • Conduct competitive tariff analysis.
  • Develop revenue projections and related economic and financial benefits of port expansion, according to ADB guidelines.
  • Relate benefits to projected economic costs and develop measures of economic feasibility such as benefit-cost ratio, EIRR, FIRR and NPV analyses.
Economic and Financial Viability Analysis
(Internal Rates of Return)

The exhibit shows the Economic and Financial Internal Rates of Return (EIRR and FIRR) for two investment alternatives

  • Define the timing and phasing of infrastructure and equipment investments.
  • Review port management and organization.
  • Determine the feasibility of developing a Free Trade Zone, and potential for increasing private sector participation in all aspects of the port operations and development.

Status

A draft final report on economic feasibility and strategic development alternatives has been submitted to the Asian Development Bank for review. The next step may require implementation assistance.

 

Privatization and Sale of Container Terminal
Queen Elizabeth Quay. Colombo. Sri Lanka.

Client(s)

Bechtel. USAID. CEO - Bureau of Infrastructure Investment.

Key Issues

The Government of Sri Lanka has determined that sustained economic growth must occur through liberalization of the trade regime and increased foreign investment through privatization of State-owned enterprises. The Port of Colombo is a key driver of trade and directly affects economic growth of the nation. The Bureau of Infrastructure Investment has invited consortiums of qualified foreign and domestic investors to bid for developing and managing a container terminal in the port.

The Cornell Group’s Role

The Cornell Group is responsible for evaluating the feasibility of privatizing the Queen Elizabeth Quays and the Outer Harbor. Our objective is to evaluate the proposals submitted by the competing bidders and assist the Government in negotiating a deal that would provide the highest financial, economic and social value to the country. Our work includes:

  • Competitive tariff analysis
  • Capacity evaluation
  • Investment needs assessment
  • Traffic forecasting
  • Tariff and revenue forecasting
  • Revenue enhancement options
  • Cash flow projections
  • Determining the "Value" of the concession to the Government.
  • Determining the economic impact of the privatization.
  • Evaluating competing bids from international investors.

The Cornell Group has developed a sophisticated "Enterprise Valuation" model to determine the highest shareholder and economic value that the Government can extract from the deal.

Status

The Government of Sri Lanka selected a bidder and The Cornell Group assisted in negotiating and closing the deal.

 

Restructuring and Strategic Business Analysis
Commercial Sea Port of Saint Petersburg, Russia

Client(s)

US Agency for International Development (USAID), Russian State Property Committee (GKI), Russian Ministry of Transport, Booz Allen.

Key Issues

The port of St. Petersburg, Russia, has been losing cargo volume and market share due to deteriorating facilities, low productivity, high operating costs, and poor management practices. A government mandate was issued for the port of St. Petersburg to undergo restructuring, develop strategic business plans, modernize facilities and attract foreign investment.

The Cornell Group’s Role

Funded by the USAID, The Cornell Group’s Principals are helping the GKI to restructure the port, separate it into several independent business units, identify new business opportunities, develop strategic business plans for each business unit and, develop a plan for the sale of shares of the port.

The Principals of The Cornell Group, have been working for the past twelve months with the port management, the GKI, the St. Petersburg Mayor’s office and the Ministry of Transportation, and have developed the following reports and recommendations:

  • Strategic Business and Marketing plans for each business unit
  • Five restructuring alternatives for the Port and related business units
  • Facilities evaluation, modernization and expansion plan
Financial Projection Comparison
(Million USD)

  • Infrastructure and equipment investment estimates
  • Traffic forecast for each terminal
  • Operations/productivity improvement and cost reduction plan
  • Cash Flow projections and Net Present Value for each of five restructuring alternatives
  • Benchmark Economic Impact Analysis
  • Sample bid documents for sale of shares

Status

The Russian Government has selected and is implementing one of the recommended restructuring and strategic business development alternatives for the port.

 

Privatization of Maritime Infrastructure
Caracas, Venezuela

Client(s)
Fondo de Inversiones de Venezuela.
Cordiplan. The World Bank.

Key Issues

To obtain financing from The World Bank for infrastructure modernization and economic development, the Venezuelan government was required to implement several economic reforms. These included the restructuring, privatization, and sale of several of the country’s transportation, public utilities and telecommunications enterprises.

Cornell Group’s Principal’s Role

The Cornell Group’s Principal was responsible for assisting the Venezuelan government’s Privatization and Investment Fund to privatize eight public ports. The work involved:

  • Evaluation of the current institutional and legal framework.
  • Assessment of the operations, financial, and organizational structure of the ports.
  • Evaluation of the competitive positioning of the ports with respect to operating costs, productivity, equipment and infrastructure.
  • Identification of investment needs.
  • Development of business volume and financial projections.
  • Development of a new management and institutional structure, as well as business plans.
  • Development of privatization strategy, and recommendations on implementing new tariffs and institutional structure.

Total Charges per Vessel Call

The exhibit shows a competitive cost comparison of handling a typical ship at various ports in the Caribbean, Central America and the US.

Status

All ports have been transferred over from the federal to the State governments, and successfully privatized as landlord ports.

 

Evaluating Infrastructure Investment Opportunities
Russia, Ukraine, Kazakhstan

Client(s)

European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD). Haskoning.

Key Issues

Immediately after the liberalization of the economy in the former Soviet Union, the European Bank was searching for near-term investment opportunities that would help rebuild the economy of the former Soviet countries, and prepare them for competition in a new business environment.

Cornell Group’s Principal’s Role

Working with a team of eight European and US consulting firms, The Cornell Group’s Principal was responsible for surveying the entire waterborne transport sector in Russia, Ukraine and Kazakhstan, and identifying feasible near-term investment opportunities for the European Bank and private European investors. This required:

  • Evaluation of the current institutional and legal framework.
  • Assessment of the operating conditions at ports, waterways, rivers, locks and related shipping companies.
  • Identification of improvements needed to the existing assets and infrastructure.

The results of this work included:

  • Business volume and financial projections for major commodities in each country.

Economic Parameters for Assessment of Investment Opportunities

  • Identification of economically viable investment opportunities, prioritized.
  • Recommendations on operations and productivity improvements.
  • Definition of overall strategy for growth.
  • Definition of new institutional structure.
  • Privatization Concept.

Status

Selected investment opportunity recommendations are currently being implemented.

Illichevsk Container Terminal Feasibility Analysis


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